Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice
A recent report highlighted that the daily transaction count on the Litecoin network has been pretty much the same as three months ago, standing at just over 100k. Similarly, the active address count has also remained unchanged, hovering around 300k, the same number it was back in February. This suggested a lack of growth in terms of users and investors for Litecoin. Combined with the fear in the market, the strong downtrend of Litecoin on the charts was rather unsurprising.
LTC- 1 Day Chart
On the daily chart, the price has made a series of lower highs and lower lows going as far back as late November. In fact, since November, no swing high of the downtrend (lower highs) has been breached even once, which suggested strong bearish pressure.
The $105-$115 area has been important in the past, for example in July last year, when the price retested this area and rallied nearly as high as $300. In the past few months, no significant reaction was seen in this area except in January, when the price bounced from $110 to $140 but was quickly pushed lower.
In the past few weeks, the psychological $100 level has been lost to the bears. On lower timeframes, the $75 level had some significance. Due to the development of a hidden bearish divergence (white) between price and momentum, the $75-$80 area can be used to enter short positions.
Rationale
Source: LTC/USDT on TradingView
In the past two weeks, the RSI has registered a higher high (white) while the price made a lower high. This hidden bearish divergence is a signal of a continuation of the downtrend, and the $60-$66 area could be retested once again and possibly broken. The RSI has also been below the neutral 50 since April, to show an ongoing bearish trend.
The Awesome Oscillator was also well beneath the zero line to show strong downward momentum. The OBV slid lower as well and was beneath the support it established in March. The Chaikin Money Flow climbed back above the -0.05 mark, but could soon be pushed lower.
Conclusion
The indicators showed strong selling pressure and consistent bearish momentum, while the price charts also showed a bearish structure. The $75 area could be used to enter short positions on the coin.
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