Despite a widespread sentiment that Bitcoin is yet to reach its bottom level, some indicators reveal the low was already realized. Supporting the claim that BTC is yet to bottom out are certain technical indicators. However, other indicators signal that Bitcoin is undervalued.
Signals To Look: Bitcoin Is Undervalued
Indicators based on unspent transaction output (UTXO) and miner statistics reveal good reasons to hold Bitcoin for over an year. For long term holders, these indicators are vital to gauge the sentiment on whether Bitcoin is undervalued or not. According to on-chain analysis data from CryptoQuant, there is a spike in the MPI (Miners’ Position Index).
MPI is the ratio of the number of all miners’ outflows to its 365 day moving average. The MPI is increasing as miners are seeing lesser profits whereas mining difficulty is a high level.
“Data demonstrates a miner capitulation event that has occurred, which has typically preceded market bottoms in previous cycles.”
Bitcoin Price Close To Bottom?
On the other side, certain other cyclic indicators suggest Bitcoin is close to its bottom. As things stand, the indicators point out that the crypto market holds a major unrealized loss. The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL), Market Value to Realized Value Ratio (MVRV), Realized Cap-UTXO Age Bands, Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), and Puell Multiple point in the same direction.
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Also, data around Bitcoin volumes suggests the price could have to consolidate in existing range as the value area is very low around $10,000. “Fluctuations in the current range around the current price of control could range from $ 17,000 to $ 22,000,” predicted ghoddusifar on CryptoQuant.
As of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $21,001.28, up 2.38% in the last 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. There is a slight change in Bitcoin with respect to weekly deviation at 0.79%.
Last week’s close of Bitcoin was unusual as the weekly candle closed below the 200-weekly moving average. This indicator is considered important by traders to gauge the support level of Bitcoin.
MMCrypto, a crypto enthusiast, also feels Bitcoin is severely undervalued. “Bitcoin is severely undervalued right now. It is at the same price like 4.5 years ago. And the currency supply has doubled.”