Bullish or bearish? Maker could see these levels in the coming week

MKRUSD 2022 04 06 19 43 41

Since its ATH in may last year, Maker (MKR) has been on a persistent decline. On its daily chart, the alt witnessed an 11-month trendline resistance that served as a strong selling point to date.

From here on, MKR would likely continue its patterned oscillation and eye to retest its trendline resistance before falling towards the $2,200-mark. The bulls needed to overturn the long-term liquidity range (Point of Control/POC) for any hopes of adjusting the trend in their favor. At press time, MKR traded at $2,155.5, down by 8.7% in the last 24 hours.

MKR Daily Chart

Source: TradingView, MKR/USD

Post floating above $6,300, the bears initiated a gradual but aggressive downslide over the last 11 months. MKR was down by 76.1% from its lifetime milestone as it plunged to witness its one-year low on 24 February.

The 23.6%, 38.2% Fibonacci levels and the trendline resistance shunned all bullish recovery attempts over the past year. Thus, the bears have refrained from giving the buyers a free hand and kept the price below the POC since the beginning of this year.

Considering the strength of the current up-channel (yellow) rally, a possible revival from the 20 EMA (red) would set MKR up for a retest of the $2,400-mark. Further, a reversal from the trendline resistance could cause a patterned breakdown that could lead to a further fallout. For the bulls to claim any advantage, they have to find a close above the POC and topple the 23.6% Fibonacci level. 

Rationale

Capture 6 scaled

Source: TradingView, MKR/USD

The RSI peaked towards the overbought mark at the same time when the price hit its POC. Thus, the price saw a reversal and now aimed to test the 20 EMA. Any revival on the RSI (possibly from the midline) would trigger a near-term bullish divergence and heighten the chances of a $2,400 retest.

CMF steeply fell below the zero-line and revealed a bearish sentiment for the alt. A likely revival in the coming days could propel a price recovery towards the long-term trendline resistance.

Conclusion 

Any close below the current pattern would position the alt for a further downfall. Considering the readings on its oscillators, a possible revival could trigger a retest of the $2,400-level before a likely fall. The POC would be an important area of value to determine a change in trend.  

Interestingly, MKR shares an 87% 30-day correlation with Bitcoin. Thus, the traders/investors should keep a close watch on it to increase the chances of a profitable move.