Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice
Avalanche’s [AVAX] constant growth over the last month supported the bullish efforts to reclaim the vital $25-support. Also, the altcoin anchored itself above the 20/50/200 EMA while exhibiting bullish behavior.
However, its recent growth seemingly witnessed a slowdown from near the $27-mark resistance. A convincing close below the current pattern could see a near-term setback before a likely rebound from a host of defending levels.
At press time, AVAX was trading at $26.03, up by 1.89% in the last 24 hours.
AVAX 4-hour Chart
After almost matching its yearly lows in late June, the buying resurgence aided AVAX in inflicting a string of higher highs and lows on the chart. The altcoin registered an over 70% ROI after reviving from its $15-support and hitting its two-month high on 7 August.
In the meantime, this buying pressure enabled a flip of the $25.4-level from resistance to immediate support. Furthermore, the 20 EMA (red) and 50 EMA (cyan) were still looking north as the broader narrative reflected a bullish edge.
However, the steep growth in an ascending channel (white) saw a patterned break. Should the current candlestick evolve into into a robust bearish one, the alt would reaffirm an Evening Star Candlestick pattern. Alas, the north-looking EMAs alongside the Point of Control (POC, red) could provide solid support to the alt’s ongoing rally. In this case, potential targets would lie in the $24-$25 range.
A potential rebound from this range could see renewed buying pressure that could aid the buyers in retesting the $27-$28 resistance range in the coming sessions.
Rationale
Source: TradingView, AVAX/USDT
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) resonated with a strong bull power while marking a slight reversal from the overbought region. Sway above the 59-61 range could help the buyers continue the alt’s gradual growth.
Nonetheless, recent gains on the chart accompanied lower peaks on the volume oscillator (VO). This reading hinted at a relatively weak bullish move. Also, the CMF noted lower highs but maintained its position above the zero-mark to depict a small buying advantage.
Conclusion
Given the breach of the $25.4-level alongside a comfortable position above the 20/50/200 EMA, AVAX could see a sustained revival in the coming days. Even so, the Evening star candlestick pattern could play spoilsport by propelling a retest of the POC region before this growth. The targets would remain the same as discussed above.
Finally, a broader sentiment analysis alongside on-chain developments should be taken into consideration to make a profitable move.
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