Had Cardano whales already predicted April’s 30% dip? Data reveals…

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Cardano’s snags do not seem to be coming to an end soon. Ever since the altcoin rallied back in March, it was expected to draw in more investors and money as the market entered the second quarter.

However, the beginning of the second quarter went in another direction as, since the beginning of April, Cardano has lost almost 30% invalidating more than three quarters of the rally.

Cardano price action | Source: TradingView – AMBCrypto

But while investors were not expecting this, some other cohorts certainly were. Whales who became active around February and March as the rally began can be attributed to a coincidence. However, this time was not a coincidence.

Cardano: Whales or Prophets?

Even before the price consolidation around 26 March could begin, whales had already begun pulling back from the market. And by the time actual price drops hit Cardano from 5 April, whales’ activity was at half of their previous volume. As ADA plummeted further, whales’ deceleration picked up the pace, and within a single day, volume fell by $29 billion.

ITB ada large transactions volume in usd 2022 04 18T07 46 58.320Z

Cardano whale transactions | Source: Intotheblock – AMBCrypto

Although the price fall was certainly not triggered by them, their exit did not help the retail investors either since they failed to read the signals, and consequently, over 1.2 million ADA holders went into losses.

ITB ada historical break even price 2022 04 18T09 15 48.705Z

Cardano investors in losses | Source: Intotheblock – AMBCrypto

Consequently, they lost their confidence and backed off completely, and as a result, the number of on-chain active investors has noticed an 80% drop off from 101k to 21k. Fortunately, no investor has exited the market yet, which means they are still holding on to their coins, hoping for a recovery in the coming weeks.

ITB ada daily active addresses 2022 04 18T09 15 18.474Z

Cardano active adresses | Source: Intotheblock – AMBCrypto

Regardless, it seems like investors are looking at the 7.4% drop from the last 24 hours as an opportunity to rake in more ADA by buying the dip. This is evident from on-chain orders that exhibit a clear demand for the altcoin given 3.77 million ADA worth $3.3 million is being purchased at the current prices.

On top of that, demand for another 17.15 million ADA exists at $0.657, which will not be happening soon as, in order to do that, Cardano will have to drop by another 23%.

ITB ada exchange onchain market depth 2022 04 18T08 56 17.955Z

Cardano buy and sell orders | Source: Intotheblock – AMBCrypto