Is Solana’s Future at Risk? Can SOL Maintain the Vital Resistance Level?

Is Solana’s Future at Risk? Can SOL Maintain the Vital Resistance Level?

The Decline of Solana’s Price

The price of Solana (SOL) has experienced a decline after facing rejection at the $27 horizontal resistance level in July. Analysis of the daily timeframe suggests that this downward trend is likely to persist in the near future.

Long-Term Resistance and Breakout Confirmation

Upon examining the weekly timeframe, it becomes apparent that SOL’s price broke through a declining resistance line in July. Despite this breakout, the price encountered resistance at the $27 level, forming a notable upper wick (red symbol). This upper wick reinforces the $27 area as a significant resistance zone. The confirmation of this breakout hinges on the price of SOL closing above the $27 level.

Weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The Weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) provides insights into the bullish stance. RSI is a commonly used momentum indicator that helps assess whether a market is overbought or oversold, aiding in decisions to buy or sell an asset.

  • If the RSI value is above 50 and trending upward, it indicates a favorable position for the bulls.
  • If the RSI value is below 50, it suggests a less favorable position for the bulls.

Currently, RSI is above 50 (red circle), but it has not decisively crossed this threshold. As a result, the possibility of dropping below this level remains.

Confirmed Trend and Potential Scenarios

For a confirmed upward trend, it’s crucial to see both a clear recovery in RSI and a price close above the $27 level. Conversely, if the descent continues, there’s a potential for a 35% drop to the $16 resistance line.

Recent Developments in Solana Network

Within the Solana Network, there are several noteworthy developments:

  • Saga Mobile, a part of Solana, has reduced the prices of its web3 smartphone by 40% to encourage adoption.
  • Solana’s Cypher protocol experienced a security breach resulting in a $1 million exploit.
  • Solana launched a new application that rewards AI data providers with cryptocurrency.

Daily Trend and Price Prediction

Unlike the neutral weekly timeframe analysis, the daily trend for SOL is currently on a downtrend. This can be attributed to breaching the $27 resistance area, followed by a decline below it. Additionally, a lower high was formed below the resistance line on August 14th (red symbol). These lower high points and the failure to reach the $27 zone signify weakness. The daily RSI has dropped below 50 (red circle) and continues to decrease.

If the decline persists, there’s potential for SOL’s price to decrease by 33% and reach a rising support line at $15.40.

Potential Upside and Conclusion

Despite the downward-biased price prediction for SOL, a close above the $27 area would indicate an ongoing upward trend. In such a scenario, the next resistance at $46 could lead to a potential 96% increase as a future price scenario.